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Geography, Military Balance, and the Defence of NATO’s Borderlands

Dylan Motin

Pub. online: 23 Sep 2020 Type: Research Article

Open Access

Journal: Journal on Baltic Security Volume 6, Issue 1 (2020), pp. 51–59

Abstract

The enlargement of NATO and the defence of its borders have occupied an important place in the security debate in the last few years. This study discusses the situation of the NATO members and candidate states which are most directly exposed to Russian military power. After analysing the cases of the three Baltic republics, Norway, Georgia, and Ukraine, I conclude with a paradox; although NATO is on the aggregate level stronger, it cannot hope to guarantee the security of its eastern borderlands. This reality could push these states to bandwagon with Russia.

Russian perception of its network-centric warfare capabilities in Syria

Algirdas Revaitis

Pub. online: 23 Sep 2020 Type: Research Article

Open Access

Journal: Journal on Baltic Security Volume 6, Issue 1 (2020), pp. 33–50

Abstract

This article examines Russian military and defence intellectuals’ reflection on Russia’s military involvement in Syria. The research is based on a mix of open-source Russian military writings, mainly analytical texts in prominent Russian military journals. The aim of the study is to analyse Russian narrative of its military campaign in Syria. The first part begins by providing Russia’s internal discussions about probable military coalitions-building variants, risks, and operational-level decisions and objectives. The second part deals with Russian Armed Forces’ network-centric warfare capabilities and limitations. The article concludes by showing that in Syria Russia introduced a modified network-centric warfare as its main feature of new method of operations is the combination of advanced intelligence-command assets and old-fashioned munitions.

Russian Insecurities: How Fear Drives Perception in the Near Abroad

Evan Kerrrane

Pub. online: 23 Sep 2020 Type: Research Article

Open Access

Journal: Journal on Baltic Security Volume 6, Issue 1 (2020), pp. 23–32

Abstract

Interpreting Russian actions in the Near Abroad relies on the perception of Russian intent, but all too often states fail to analyse how Moscow interprets Western objectives. While defensive realist theorists argue that states tend to seek only enough power to survive within the system, the U.S. 2017 National Security Strategy argues Moscow is a revisionist state, seeking a return to great power status. Increasing tensions among the actors in the region gives rise to potential misperception of intent. This article analyses state motivations under a defensive realist paradigm and addresses how Russian actions may emerge from a defensive perspective. Using a defensive realist framework, this article elevates Russian insecurities and fear of Western influence in the Near Abroad as the primary motivator of state action.

Euro-Atlantic security before and after COVID-19

Shota Gvineria

Pub. online: 23 Sep 2020 Type: Research Article

Open Access

Journal: Journal on Baltic Security Volume 6, Issue 1 (2020), pp. 5–21

Abstract

Contemporary global power competition has turned the world into a hybrid battlefield. In modern battlefield, authoritarian regimes have the strategic advantage of being irresponsible, reckless and aggressive. This advantage is combined with the ability of the authoritarian regimes to find cheap and effective - short of war - solutions for achieving geopolitical objectives. In past decades authoritarian regimes such as Russia and China have been actively applying hybrid strategies against the Western dominated rules based international system. Those strategies are being constructed based on identification and utilization of the vulnerabilities of the democratic political systems, institutions and societies. Pandemic crisis caused by unpredictable and unprecedented spread of the mutated new Corona virus, have underlined vulnerabilities and opened up new possibilities for the hybrid warfare. The pandemic influences every power on the global stage, but will COVID-19 be a turning point for the Euro-Atlantic Security environment?

One Nation, under Drones. Legality, Morality, and Utility of Unmanned Combat Systems, edited by Capt. John Jackson (US Navy, retd)

https://doi.org/10.2478/jobs-2019-0010

Pub. online: 21 Dec 2019 Type: Book Review

Open Access

Journal: Journal on Baltic Security Volume 5, Issue 2 (2019), pp. 53–54

Abstract

Book review

Evolution of Political and Security Relationship between the Republic of Poland and the United States of America in the years 1999–2019

Grzegorz Kozlowski

https://doi.org/10.2478/jobs-2019-000

Pub. online: 21 Dec 2019 Type: Research Article

Open Access

Journal: Journal on Baltic Security Volume 5, Issue 2 (2019), pp. 41–51

Abstract

The article discusses the evolution of political and security cooperation between the Republic of Poland and the United States of America in the years 1999–2019. It argues that this relationship has been strengthened over the past several years to an unprecedented level, as reflected by the following: (a) permanent presence of US troops and facilities

on the territory of the Republic of Poland; (b) significant reinforcement of energy cooperation that would contribute to the security of the Central and Eastern European (CEE) region; (c) development of a high-level strategic dialogue; and (d) successful widening of the mutual scope of soft security collaboration, including economic, digital and people-topeople

aspects. In this article, I try to answer the following questions: what are the reasons of upgrading Poland–US political and security relations? What was the process shaping US– Poland relationship during 1999–2019? What are the priorities for both sides in this cooperation? I suggest that the past 20 years of Polish–American relationship can be divided into three stages: (a) between Poland’s accession to North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) and Russian aggression towards Ukraine (1999–2014); (b) between the NATO Summit in Newport and the swearing in of Donald Trump as President of the United States (2014–2017); and (c) then onwards (2017/2018–).

Armed Forces As The Russian Federation’s Strategic Tool

Mirosław Banasik

https://doi.org/10.2478/jobs-2019-0008

Pub. online: 21 Dec 2019 Type: Research Article

Open Access

Journal: Journal on Baltic Security Volume 5, Issue 2 (2019), pp. 29–40

Abstract

The experience of the past decade shows a steadily increasing role of the armed forces in the implementation of Moscow’s strategic aspirations. The aim of this work is to present the geopolitical ambitions of Russia in competition with the West and the role of the armed forces in satisfying these ambitions, as well as to evaluate their modernisation.

The article identifies the directions of Moscow’s strategic aspirations and presents a vision of Russia’s future war. The reforms carried out by the Russian national defence ministers Anatoliy Serdyukov and Sergey Shoygu are evaluated. The conclusions resulting from the involvement of Russian armed forces in the conflicts in Ukraine and Syria are explained. It indicates the changes that will take place in particular branches of the armed forces in the near and long terms.

Living in confronting or parallel strategic narratives? The reasons behind the missing security dialogue between Russia and the Baltic States

Viljar Veebel Liia Vihmand

Pub. online: 15 Dec 2019 Type: Research Article

Open Access

Journal: Journal on Baltic Security Volume 5, Issue 2 (2019), pp. 17–28

Abstract

The current study discusses differences between Russia and the Baltic States in terms of their strategic narratives, as well as how they interpret key terms and concepts in the field of security. To frame the scope of the study, the strategic narrative of Russia for the Baltic countries and the Baltic strategic narrative(s) for Russia are compared and analysed. Both sides are also locked within the bigger framework of European Union’s economic sanctions against Russia and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) alliance’s deterrence concept. On the other hand, the Baltic States and Russia have a lot to gain from possible improvements in economic relations and reduction of regional security tensions.

Extended Deterrence Dilemmas in the Grey Zone: Trans-Atlantic Insights on Baltic Security Challenges

Egle Murauskaite David Quinn Devin H. Ellis All authors (6)

Pub. online: 15 Dec 2019 Type: Research Article

Open Access

Journal: Journal on Baltic Security Volume 5, Issue 2 (2019), pp. 5–16

Abstract

Should the U.S. respond with military means to a limited Russian incursion in the Baltics? This paper explores Western attitudes towards such a hypothetical grey zone crisis. Using survey experiments and crisis simulations we find considerable reluctance to use military tools in order to support a Baltic ally, and surprisingly little variation across the audiences. The underlying reluctance to get the U.S. involved in an armed conflict with Russia in the hopes that such acquiescence may help preserve global stability indicates that the conflict in Ukraine only had a fundamentally limited impact on Western strategic thought on deterring Russia.

EU-Russia Relations: is the return to “business as usual” possible? Review of Kristi Raik and András Rácz (eds.). (2019) Post-Crimea Shift in EU-Russia Relations: From Fostering Interdependence to Managing Vulnerabilities.

Zdzislaw Sliwa

https://doi.org/10.2478/jobs-2019-0005

Pub. online: 1 Jun 2019 Type: Book Review

Open Access

Journal: Journal on Baltic Security Volume 5, Issue 1 (2019), pp. 53–55

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Journal on Baltic Security

Online ISSN: 2382-9230
Print ISSN: 2382-9222

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