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The Chinese Factor in the Baltic States’ Security
Volume 7, Issue 2 (2021), pp. 15–25
Konstantinas Andrijauskas  

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Pub. online: 30 December 2021      Type: Research Article      Open accessOpen Access

Received
12 October 2021
Accepted
15 November 2021
Published
30 December 2021

Abstract

Based on representative primary sources as well as authoritative academic and think tank analyses, this article aims to evaluate the role that Asia’s emerging superpower came to play in the Baltic trio’s security, with particular emphasis on its harder aspects and most recent developments, which marked a certain shift in the respective bilateral relationships. Structured according to the conventional levels of international relations analysis and rough chronological order, the qualitative study tracks the more or less direct impact of China for the comprehensive security of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania ranging from the systemic (global) to purely bilateral domains. The results show that China has indeed become a security factor to be reckoned with there, particularly since roughly 2017–2019 and primarily due to its deepening strategic partnership with Russia. Some of its security effects, however, are even older, more nuanced, yet still significant. Since roughly 2019, however, China’s security factor has increasingly acquired challenging and even threatening characteristics as is most clearly demonstrated by its relationship dynamics with Lithuania.

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This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Keywords
China Baltic states security Russia NATO EU

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